A Quiet Day Forward Leaves Geopolitics and COVID-19 in Focus


The Majors

It was a bullish finish to the week for the European majors on Friday.

Following on from a comparatively bullish day on Thursday, the DAX30 rallied by 1.34%, to paved the way. The CAC40 and the EuroStoxx600 noticed extra modest features of 0.85% and 0.90% respectively.

Optimistic stats from China and the U.S offered help for the European majors on the finish of the week.

Company earnings delivered additional upside for German autos and the DAX30. On the finish of the week, Daimler launched prelim Q12021 outcomes. Favorable gross sales momentum at Mercedes pushed by robust demand, from China particularly, delivered higher than anticipated outcomes.

The Stats

It was a comparatively quiet day on the financial calendar on Friday.

Finalized inflation figures and commerce information for the Eurozone had been in focus.

Eurozone Inflation

In March, the annual fee of inflation accelerated from 0.9% to 1.3%. The annual fee of inflation had stood at 0.7% in March 2020.

Based on Eurostat,

  • The bottom annual charges of inflation had been registered in Greece (-2.0%), Portugal, Malta, Eire, and Slovenia (all 0.1%).
  • Luxembourg registered the very best annual fee of inflation at 2.5%.
  • The very best contribution to the annual fee of inflation got here from companies (+0.57 share factors).
  • There have been additionally contributions from vitality (+0.43 pp), meals, alcohol, & tobacco (+0.24 pp), and non-energy industrial items (+0.09 pp).


In February, the Eurozone’s commerce surplus widened from €11.0bn to €17.7bn.

Based on Eurostat,

  • Exports of products to the remainder of the world fell by 5.5% to €178.6bn compared with Feb-2020.
  • Imports from the remainder of the world declined by 2.7% to €161.0bn compared with Feb-2020.
  • Intra-euro space commerce rose by 1.7% to €164.8bn compared with Feb-2020.

From the U.S

It was one other busy day, with key stats together with shopper sentiment figures. Housing sector information was additionally in focus however had a muted affect on the majors.

Based on April prelim figures, the Michigan Client Sentiment Index rose from 84.9 to 86.5.

Whereas up by simply 1.9% month-on-month, the index was up 20.5% year-on-year.

Supporting the rise was a 4.5% rise within the Present Financial Situations Index from 93.0 to 97.2. 12 months-on-year, the index was up 30.8%.

Holding regular in April, was the Index of Client Expectations that remained unchanged at 79.7. 12 months-on-year, the index was up 13.7%.

The Market Movers

For the DAX: It was a bullish day for the auto sector on Friday. Daimler and Volkswagen rallied 2.79% and by 2.65% respectively, with Continental gaining 2.33%. BMW noticed a extra modest 0.12% achieve on the day.

It was additionally a bullish day for the banks. Deutsche Financial institution rose by 1.83%, with Commerzbank ending the day up by 1.23%.

From the CAC, it was a bullish day for the banks. BNP Paribas rallied by 2.20%, with Soc Gen gaining 1.27%. Credit score Agricole noticed a extra modest 0.11% rise on the day.

It was additionally a bullish day for the French auto sector. Stellantis NV rose by 1.46%, with Renault rallying by 2.29%.

Air France-KLM discovered much-needed help, rising by 2.24%, with Airbus SE gaining 0.82%.

On the VIX Index

It was a 2nd consecutive week within the pink the VIX on Friday, marking a 6th day by day fall in 8-sessions.

Following on from a 2.47% fall on Thursday, the VIX fell by 1.93% to finish the day at 16.25.

The Dow and the S&P500 rose by 0.48% and by 0.36% respectively, with the NASDAQ gaining 0.10%.

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