Oil Falls as India’s COVID-19 Surge Dents Demand Outlook

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Each benchmarks fell about 1% final week.

“The market is tending to focus extra on the dangerous information from India and Japan at current, the place the variety of new coronavirus instances has risen sharply, prompting elevated mobility restrictions to be imposed,” mentioned Commerzbank analyst Eugen Weinberg.

India and Japan are world’s third and fourth largest crude oil importers.

India’s new coronavirus infections hit a document peak for a fifth day on Monday as nations together with Britain, Germany and the USA pledged to ship pressing medical support to assist battle the disaster overwhelming its hospitals.

Consultancy FGE expects gasoline demand in India to slide by 100,000 barrels per day (bpd) in April and by greater than 170,000 bpd in Could. India’s whole gasoline gross sales got here to just about 747,000 bpd in March.

Diesel demand, which at about 1.75 million bpd accounts for about 40% of refined gasoline gross sales in India, might hunch by 220,000 bpd in April and by one other 400,000 bpd in Could, FGE says.

In Japan, a 3rd state of emergency in Tokyo, Osaka and two different prefectures started on Sunday, affecting almost 1 / 4 of the inhabitants because the nation makes an attempt to fight a surge in instances.

The Group of the Petroleum Exporting International locations and allies led by Russia, generally known as OPEC+, will focus on output coverage at a gathering this week, however most analysts imagine it is going to go forward with its choice to ease output restrictions from Could.

The group in a gathering initially of April agreed to ease manufacturing curbs by 350,000 barrels per day (bpd) in Could, one other 350,000 bpd in June and an additional 400,000 bpd or so in July.

“The looming wave of contemporary OPEC+ provide coupled with renewed demand issues has dented hopes for a significant summer time value pounce,” mentioned Stephen Brennock of oil dealer PVM.

(Reporting by Bozorgmehr Sharafedin in London, further reporting by Yuka Obayashi in Tokyo; Modifying by Kirsten Donovan)



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